
Members' publications
The following is a list of publications by OCP's Executive Committee Members. For publications by a specific Member, please choose a name in the main menu. Use the Search box to find a specific publication.
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25 April 2023
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20 April 2023
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27 November 2022
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04 November 2022
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17 October 2022
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17 October 2022
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12 October 2022
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18 May 2022
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11 May 2022
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23 March 2022
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28 January 2022
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14 January 2022
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01 January 2022
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18 November 2021
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13 November 2021
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10 November 2021
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23 September 2021
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13 September 2021
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01 September 2021
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26 July 2021
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21 July 2021
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13 July 2021
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24 June 2021
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26 May 2021
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05 May 2021
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01 April 2021
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16 March 2021
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08 March 2021
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02 February 2021
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18 December 2020
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08 December 2020
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18 November 2020
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14 November 2020
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14 November 2020
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30 October 2020
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31 August 2020
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14 August 2020
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16 July 2020
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29 May 2020
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19 May 2020
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12 May 2020
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10 May 2020
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02 May 2020
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06 April 2020
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01 April 2020
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07 March 2020
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27 February 2020
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10 January 2020
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08 January 2020
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11 December 2019
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13 November 2019
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01 September 2019
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02 January 2019
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01 January 2019
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22 December 2018
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This blog looks more closely at the issues that lie behind the collapse of B.20 and suggests a few things that might help to improve the Board culture, not least because I believe the time is now finally ripe to do something about it. Why? Given the dramatic failure of B.20, maybe there is a willingness by the Board to look into how a repeat performance can be avoided.
27 November 2018 -
This discussion note finds that the rolling ‘updated 5 + indicative 5’ cycle with synchronised updating of the Dynamic Contribution Cycle which, as reflected in the submissions, has been receiving traction, is by far the best procedural bet for enhancing collective NDC ambition.
27 November 2018 -
01 October 2018
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To address climate change, we need to complement a punitive push with an aspirational pull on consumer behaviour in the right direction.OCP Blog
27 May 2018 -
A proposal to establish a trans-national Western Climate Fund to receive contributions for the multilateral funds of the Paris Agreement, in particular the LDCF, from States and Provinces in or around the Western Climate Initiative.
27 May 2018 -
13 May 2018
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When reflecting on the relative fairness of countries’ pledges and actions, the role of scholarly analysis and quantification is to help clarify the ethical underpinnings and consequences of the choices facing society. It is emphatically not to make those normative choices.
27 April 2018 -
This policy brief gives an account of how Article 6 of the Paris Agreement came into being, focussing in particular on the role of Brazil and the EU in the run up to Paris. It then seeks to clarify the basic concepts involved in the Article 6 debate, and proposes ways in which opposing positions on the opertionalisation of the market mechanisms can be reconciled.
27 April 2018 -
To kick start cross-disciplinary discussions on the Paris Agreement, the University of Oxford’s Environmental Change Institute focused its 25th anniversary conference upon meeting the challenges of the Agreement for science and society. This theme issue by Philosophical Transactions A, compiled and edited by Dann Mitchell, Myles R Allen, Jim W Hall, Benito Mueller, Lavanya Rajamani and Corinne Le Quéré, consists of reviews, opinion pieces and original research from some of the presentations, covering a wide range of issues underpinning the Paris Agreement. They show that, on the balance of probability, limiting warming to 1.5°C, in the context of sustainable and equitable development, is still possible. It remains to be seen whether the evidence provided on the impacts of climate change avoided by stabilising at 1.5°C over higher temperature thresholds will be sufficient to motivate action on the scale and pace needed to achieve the 1.5°C goal.
06 April 2018 -
26 February 2018
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19 February 2018
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04 January 2018
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15 December 2017
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04 December 2017
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01 December 2017
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29 November 2017
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12 November 2017
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29 October 2017
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25 October 2017
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25 October 2017
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23 October 2017
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03 October 2017
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18 September 2017
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13 September 2017
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16 July 2017
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01 June 2017
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09 May 2017
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09 May 2017
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01 May 2017
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08 April 2017
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08 April 2017
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31 March 2017
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01 March 2017
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28 February 2017
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06 February 2017
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01 February 2017
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01 January 2017
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10 December 2016
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08 October 2016
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03 October 2016
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03 October 2016
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08 July 2016
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01 July 2016
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27 June 2016
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27 June 2016
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20 June 2016
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15 June 2016
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01 June 2016
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13 May 2016
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13 May 2016
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01 May 2016
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15 April 2016
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14 April 2016
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10 April 2016
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08 April 2016
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07 April 2016
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01 April 2016
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16 March 2016
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01 March 2016
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28 February 2016
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01 February 2016
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30 January 2016
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30 January 2016
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04 January 2016
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01 January 2016
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01 January 2016
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31 December 2015
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30 December 2015
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30 December 2015
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29 December 2015
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18 December 2015
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17 December 2015
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15 December 2015
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17 November 2015
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17 November 2015
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17 November 2015
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17 November 2015
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17 November 2015
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01 November 2015
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01 October 2015
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22 September 2015
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22 September 2015
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01 September 2015
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31 August 2015
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10 August 2015
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01 August 2015
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30 July 2015
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30 July 2015
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26 June 2015
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23 April 2015
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23 April 2015
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23 March 2015
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19 March 2015
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16 February 2015
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21 January 2015
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31 December 2014
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20 December 2014
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17 December 2014
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16 December 2014
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04 December 2014
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01 December 2014
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16 November 2014
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13 November 2014
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15 October 2014
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20 August 2014
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16 August 2014
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12 August 2014
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26 May 2014
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26 May 2014
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23 May 2014
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20 May 2014
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14 May 2014
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11 May 2014
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10 May 2014
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06 May 2014
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09 April 2014
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20 March 2014
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20 March 2014
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20 March 2014
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14 March 2014
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14 March 2014
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02 March 2014
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01 March 2014
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20 February 2014
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20 February 2014
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10 February 2014
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28 January 2014
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24 January 2014
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23 January 2014
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20 January 2014
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02 January 2014
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02 January 2014
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31 December 2013
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Whether or not the regime emerging from the current negotiations under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) will be based on an explicit cost/burden sharing formula, the debate about (implied) costs/burdens will be central. Such a debate cannot be genuinely meaningful in the absence of an acceptable operationalisation of Article 3.1 in general, and of the concept of ‘respective capability’ in particular.
We propose a framework (‘The Oxford Approach’) for measuring national ‘differentiated economic capabilities’ (‘ability to pay’) as integral part of an operationalisation. It is based on the well-known income tax paradigm:
- A measure of overall economic size is progressively modified in terms of relative prosperity levels to produce a ‘gross capability measure’ (analogous to gross taxable income). As such, gross capability represents a measure of general ability to pay.
- Drawing further from the tax paradigm, the framework introduces deductions in order to take into account other costs deemed to have priority. In keeping with the global priority to address poverty explicitly stated in the UNFCCC and the Rio+20 Declaration, Poverty Capability Adjustments are deducted from the gross capability measure, to arrive at what we call the net ‘Oxford Capability Measure’ (OCM) to pay for climate change cost/burdens.
The primary purpose of the OCM is to define or assess climate change cost/burden sharing (schemes). We believe the Oxford Approach to be acceptable for this not only because it is modelled on progressive income tax with deductions, a burden sharing scheme used by most if not all countries of the world, but also because of the progressiveness calibration through countries’ revealed preferences.
To illustrate the potential use of this methodology we consider two examples: assessing the fairness of a given cost distribution; and developing a (rule-based) ‘graduation scheme’ regarding obligations to pay. We assess the fairness of the 2010 distribution of climate change impact costs as reported in the second edition of the Climate Vulnerability Monitor with reference to an OCM equity benchmark. We then turn to the question of defining a fair benchmark for taking on cost/burden obligations, concluding that while an OCM per capita scheme would be best, one could use ‘poverty intensity of GDP’ as a second best surrogate.
30 December 2013 -
29 December 2013
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21 November 2013
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20 November 2013
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15 November 2013
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06 November 2013
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03 November 2013
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01 November 2013
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30 October 2013
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05 October 2013
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03 October 2013
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20 September 2013
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15 September 2013
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27 August 2013
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21 August 2013
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01 July 2013
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20 June 2013
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20 June 2013
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20 June 2013
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13 June 2013
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01 June 2013
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22 April 2013
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20 April 2013
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01 March 2013
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01 March 2013
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01 March 2013
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21 February 2013
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20 February 2013
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01 January 2013
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21 August 2012
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01 August 2012
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22 June 2012
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19 March 2012
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12 March 2012
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12 March 2012
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02 March 2012
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01 March 2012
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21 February 2012
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01 January 2012
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31 December 2011
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30 December 2011
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08 December 2011
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09 November 2011
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09 November 2011
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03 November 2011
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20 September 2011
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21 August 2011
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20 August 2011
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19 August 2011
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20 July 2011
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08 June 2011
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27 May 2011
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27 May 2011
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27 May 2011
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20 May 2011
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19 May 2011
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19 May 2011
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18 May 2011
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17 May 2011
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03 May 2011
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20 April 2011
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01 March 2011
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31 January 2011
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24 January 2011
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31 December 2010
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30 December 2010
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30 November 2010
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15 November 2010
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12 November 2010
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31 October 2010
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30 October 2010
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30 October 2010
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21 October 2010
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21 October 2010
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12 October 2010
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11 October 2010
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11 October 2010
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30 September 2010
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21 June 2010
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20 June 2010
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07 June 2010
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22 May 2010
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21 May 2010
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20 May 2010
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19 May 2010
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18 May 2010
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17 May 2010
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16 May 2010
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15 May 2010
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14 May 2010
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07 May 2010
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12 April 2010
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07 April 2010
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01 April 2010
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09 March 2010
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07 February 2010
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09 January 2010
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31 December 2009
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30 December 2009
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29 December 2009
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28 December 2009
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- SBSTA side event on "Scientific and methodological aspects of the Proposal by Brazil" Bali 5 December 2007
- Re-published as: Benito Müller, Niklas Höhne, and Christian Ellermann, ‘Differentiating (historic) responsibilities for climate change’, Climate Policy, Volume 9, Number 6, 2009 , pp. 593-611(19)
27 December 2009 -
26 December 2009
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25 December 2009
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24 December 2009
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23 December 2009
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21 December 2009
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21 December 2009
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10 December 2009
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07 December 2009
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29 November 2009
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21 November 2009
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20 November 2009
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20 November 2009
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16 November 2009
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07 November 2009
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07 November 2009
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21 October 2009
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07 October 2009
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07 October 2009
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07 October 2009
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01 October 2009
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16 September 2009
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11 September 2009
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07 September 2009
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22 August 2009
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22 August 2009
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22 August 2009
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07 July 2009
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20 June 2009
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19 June 2009
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25 May 2009
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22 April 2009
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01 April 2009
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01 April 2009
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07 March 2009
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01 January 2009
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21 November 2008
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20 November 2008
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19 November 2008
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19 November 2008
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16 November 2008
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07 November 2008
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21 October 2008
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07 October 2008
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24 September 2008
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21 September 2008
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07 September 2008
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07 June 2008
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27 April 2008
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27 April 2008
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07 April 2008
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21 February 2008
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07 February 2008
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02 February 2008
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31 December 2007
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30 December 2007
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29 December 2007
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28 December 2007
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07 October 2007
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06 October 2007
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05 October 2007
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22 July 2007
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19 July 2007
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07 July 2007
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07 July 2007
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19 June 2007
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07 June 2007
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07 January 2007
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01 January 2007
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10 December 2006
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07 December 2006
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21 October 2006
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19 October 2006
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07 October 2006
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01 October 2006
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01 October 2006
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22 September 2006
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21 September 2006
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07 September 2006
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07 June 2006
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07 June 2006
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01 April 2006
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07 March 2006
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07 February 2006
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01 January 2006
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22 June 2005
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17 June 2005
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17 June 2005
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17 June 2005
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07 June 2005
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07 March 2005
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16 February 2005
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06 February 2005
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04 December 2004
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22 November 2004
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07 November 2004
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01 August 2004
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01 April 2004
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30 March 2004
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22 March 2004
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07 March 2004
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07 March 2004
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07 March 2004
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07 March 2004
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31 December 2003
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16 October 2003
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22 September 2003
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07 September 2003
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03 August 2003
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27 June 2003
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22 June 2003
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22 June 2003
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14 March 2003
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02 February 2003
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31 December 2002
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22 September 2002
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22 September 2002
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16 August 2002
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23 July 2002
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29 June 2002
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22 June 2002
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11 June 2002
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01 June 2002
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22 April 2002
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01 April 2002
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10 February 2002
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07 February 2002
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07 February 2002
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01 January 2002
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31 December 2001
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31 December 2001
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01 December 2001
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22 August 2001
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15 August 2001
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07 August 2001
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20 June 2001
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07 June 2001
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07 June 2001
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22 May 2001
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22 May 2001
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18 April 2001
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22 March 2001
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22 March 2001
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22 February 2001
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07 February 2001
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22 January 2001
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22 January 2001
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31 December 2000
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21 December 2000
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13 December 2000
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07 December 2000
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05 November 2000
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05 October 2000
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22 September 2000
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22 June 2000
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22 May 2000
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13 May 2000
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22 April 2000
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07 April 2000
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22 March 2000
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22 March 2000
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22 March 2000
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22 February 2000
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07 February 2000
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22 October 1999
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22 October 1999
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15 August 1999
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21 July 1999
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22 May 1999
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22 April 1999
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21 March 1999
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19 February 1999
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22 January 1999
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02 October 1998
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06 September 1998
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25 July 1998
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23 June 1998
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01 April 1998
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19 February 1998
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01 January 1998
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12 September 1997
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15 July 1997
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19 April 1997
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01 April 1997
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01 April 1997
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16 March 1997
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27 February 1997
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16 January 1997
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01 January 1997
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13 December 1996
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23 November 1996
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22 November 1996
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15 November 1996
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23 October 1996
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23 July 1996
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23 June 1996
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23 March 1996
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22 November 1995
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28 October 1995
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01 April 1995
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23 January 1995
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01 January 1995
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16 December 1994
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10 December 1994
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28 October 1994
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23 June 1994
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28 November 1993
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07 October 1993
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02 October 1993
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15 September 1993
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14 October 1992
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12 October 1992